We all somehow know that the expert wins every time. Providing that we are in the experts area of expertise. Generally speaking, how often are we in the experts area of expertise?
Today, experts have such a narrow focus of expertise that we must exercise ever greater care over that which we ask of them.
In fact, in order to ask an expert a relevant question, we must be extremely knowledgeable in their area of expertise. We all know all this. A ‘Doctor’ is a general practitioner of medicine. When you are unwell, he or she will investigate an area of concern and direct you to a series of experts. The ‘Doctor’ reviews all their findings and determines a course of treatment. Perhaps a cost effective one or an expensive one, depending upon how this is all going to be financed.
In the above example, the ‘Doctor’ is the general expert who manages all the other very narrowly focussed experts on your behalf. Be very mindful of the fact that the ‘Doctor’ will give you a choice of treatments. The ultimate decision is yours. Being able to research the problem and analyse the information will enable you to make an educated choice or you can just go with your feelings.
The system described above works well. Now let us scale it up. In the UK we have a PM and he has a range of high ranking experts to liaise with. Imagine he has the entire country as a patient and is being presented with a new problem to deal with. For this example, let us say that there is a new flu about which appears to be far more aggressive than normal flu. You may not believe how many different sorts of experts opinion need to be consulted on this one. To make things worse, even experts in the same narrow field disagree on more things than you would be comfortable with.
Now, it is important to know how the PM expert support structure is set up. Those who enjoy the top ranking ‘expert’ posts in society must give him one ‘consensus’ opinion and then choices based on that one ‘consensus’ opinion. Back to the ‘Doctor’, he doesn’t get one consensus opinion back from the experts. He gets a range of opinions to consider. Once considered, the ‘Doctor’ gives the patient his opinion and allows the patient to decide on how to proceed.
Do you see the flaws in the PM support structure? We have scaled up the Doctor / Patient relationship but then removed those key components that made it viable.
The missing key components could be re-inserted and the system would be transformed.
There are two difficulties with effecting this transformation. All of society would change and change dramatically. Fear of change is a major barrier. Fear of being made to look foolish, on a societal scale, would be impossible for many.
Could we even imagine what we would transform into, as both individuals and collectively? No, otherwise I would have been born into a far different world.
Can I give you an example? I shall try. Let us imagine the same scenario that our PM was presented with earlier in this post. A new flu, which is far more potent than our normal seasonal flu, appears. The PM seeks experts opinion and considers them all. He then gives us all a choice based on the key facts as he sees them. All the data is made public and everyone asked to analyse it, ask questions and provide feedback. News channels, magazines, corporations and private bloggers all start giving us their opinions. We all then make our own individual choices. Some will self isolate, others will wear masks, some will maintain a short physical distance from others, others will open windows for ventilation, some will seek ways of upgrading their immune systems, a few will be terrified and others not see a problem.
Imagine that the data we freely get shows that fat people are at significant risk, as are those with poor immune systems, such as those over 80 years old. Those below 60 who are not fat and in good health are unlikely to become severely ill. Those below 40 who are not fat or dying of something else are almost bullet proof. What would you do? The choice is yours. Well it is in this transformed and imagined world that I am sharing with you.
Let us make this easier to understand. Imagine playing a game where you start with 500 to 1,000 health points. Poor lifestyle choices can rapidly reduce your health score. Getting fat reduces the score. Getting old reduces the score. Stress reduces the score. Becoming ill reduces the score and so on. Normal flu gives you a sudden loss of 50 points. This new flu gives you a sudden loss of 120 points. A new and experimental mrna jab reduces this to 60 points.
That said, those with a health score of 500 to 1,000 are not going to realise that they have either normal flu or the new flu. These people will be asymptotic. They will also be less than 60, not be fat and be in good health – hence the score. Those with health scores of 100 or less will be at risk.
Let us say that the average person has a health score of 600 but is still concerned about this new flu. They may wish to do some research and then act upon it. Increasing their own health score by 100 or more, over the course of 12 months. They may wish to maintain a small physical distance from others, not share physical objects with strangers and open windows where possible. They will surely realise that shoving fingers into their own mouths and rubbing eyes is asking for trouble and so they make an attempt not to. They may or may not choose to have an experimental mrna jab. That is entirely their own concern.
I have described what would happen in my imagined world. No doubt in your world, the government response has been awesome.
I am a Systems Analyst and design Engineer. I have been educated to run teams of expert Engineers in pursuit of an established goal. Each expert Engineer would run their own team of Engineers and each of these have a team of Technicians and Contractors. You are welcome.
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